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Ethan Pugh
CRM · open dayLost causePhysics with PhilosophyConversion propensity
Bayesian estimate — shown with its uncertainty.
Posterior mean 16% · 90% credible interval 8–23%
Recommended action
Deprioritise — minimal expected return
Low expected return on outreach.
From intake
Open-day registration
- Year group
- Year 13
- School / college
- Nottingham High
- Region
- North West
- Subjects of interest
- Physics with Philosophy, Natural Sciences
- Accommodation interest
- Yes
Inferred from UniMetrica B2C
Consented platform signals
- Also considering
- Durham, Sheffield
- Utility weights
- academic 0.58 · location 0.45 · cost 0.46 · social 0.42
- Engagement depth
- 26%
- EOP (York Physics)
- 56%
- Extracurricular
- climbing club
Personalised outreach
Generated from this lead's full profile · grounded in real York records.