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Arjun Sutcliffe
CRM · open daySure thingNatural SciencesConversion propensity
Bayesian estimate — shown with its uncertainty.
Posterior mean 76% · 90% credible interval 70–82%
Recommended action
Light touch — confirm offer, invite to the 20–21 June open day
Likely to choose York regardless — don't over-invest.
From intake
Open-day registration
- Year group
- Year 13
- School / college
- Tapton School
- Region
- North West
- Subjects of interest
- Natural Sciences
- Accommodation interest
- No
Inferred from UniMetrica B2C
Consented platform signals
- Also considering
- Nottingham, Bristol
- Utility weights
- academic 0.49 · location 0.12 · cost 0.2 · social 0.16
- Engagement depth
- 76%
- EOP (York Physics)
- 80%
- Extracurricular
- astronomy society
Personalised outreach
Generated from this lead's full profile · grounded in real York records.