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Rosa Quinn
CRM · open daySure thingPhysicsConversion propensity
Bayesian estimate — shown with its uncertainty.
Posterior mean 86% · 90% credible interval 76–95%
Recommended action
Light touch — confirm offer, invite to the 20–21 June open day
Likely to choose York regardless — don't over-invest.
From intake
Open-day registration
- Year group
- Year 13
- School / college
- Harrogate Grammar
- Region
- East Midlands
- Subjects of interest
- Physics, Chemistry
- Accommodation interest
- Yes
Inferred from UniMetrica B2C
Consented platform signals
- Also considering
- Leeds, Manchester
- Utility weights
- academic 0.38 · location 0.16 · cost 0.17 · social 0.39
- Engagement depth
- 77%
- EOP (York Physics)
- 78%
- Extracurricular
- chess club
Personalised outreach
Generated from this lead's full profile · grounded in real York records.